Sports bets can be very profitable if anyone know the secrets and techniques often the “smart money” bettors apply to consistently make dollars. One of the primary secrets that smart money gamblers use is knowing when NOT in order to bet.

Here’s a best example of this. My spouse and i analyzed often the Western side Florida vs. Louisville game, and concluded that will West Florida had typically the edge in the game. Nevertheless , My spouse and i also recognized that there have been a great deal of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not guarantee on this kind of game. Here is my analysis I released prior to the game:

West Las vegas or Louisville

This game features all the signals of being one regarding the very best games connected with the year, using the two teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, equally with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, using West Virginia coming back from getting down major in the next 1 / 4 to winning around overtime, however,.

So what’s the action search like this year?

In the event this activity were being played from a neutral field, West Las vegas would likely probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since this game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented move. These people haven’t lost considering Jan. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they misplaced to California Tech. On the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their very last 10 PATH games.

These kind of are some very remarkable stats that tilt the particular scales in favor associated with WVU with regard to tonight’s online. Plus, this added in reward is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. เว็บพนัน may not seem to be like much, but in a close match-up such as this, that special point will certainly make the change between some sort of push and even a loss.

But what about Louisville?

Louisville’s gambling are almost as good because WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their very own previous 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS into their previous 10 home video games.

And even if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t missing in your own home since 12 20, 2003! During this recent run Louisville is averaging 49. five points for every game in your house, while hitting only giving up 15. 7 points for each game in home. In case a person did not do the figures, that means considering that their particular last home damage they also have averaged beating their very own opponents by means of about thirty four details per game.

Furthermore extraordinary, the average line in these games has only been recently 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten often the get spread around, on average, by way of 13 factors per online game at home since the year 2003.

Wow… how can a person go against that?

Here’s how…

Nearly all of those stats were being developed during the june 2006 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to great than great. They also have acquired recent games by which they have already only scored twenty eight, 12, 24 points. That online games weren’t against Kentkucky Saint. or Michigan. They ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.

The end result is the fact that this is still a good close match to contact. Although the things i look regarding is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s no purpose to think WVU can’t have one to often the low to middle of the 20’s. My honest recommendation will be to lay off this specific game and certainly not bet at all. There are better video games this weekend break with more simple rewards.

The final score with this game was Louisville 46, West California 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to go back a new punt for a new TD. The bottom line was that will West Virginia’s borders weren’t so big which they may still win right after generating so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this match, people serious concerning wagering saved money these people can put to better use on coming games.