Sports wagering can be quite profitable if an individual know the secrets typically the “smart money” bettors apply to consistently make money. One of the primary secrets that sensible money bettors use can be knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a best example of this. My partner and i analyzed the particular Western Va vs. Louisville match, and concluded of which West Las vegas had the particular edge in the activity. Nonetheless My partner and i also recognized that there were a great deal of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to my clients that they perform not gamble on this specific game. Here is my personal analysis I released just before the game:

West California vs . Louisville

This game offers all the indications of being one of the ideal games associated with the year, together with each teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia versus. #5 ranked Louisville, both using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, using Western side Virginia coming again from becoming down massive in the fourth 1 fourth to winning around overtime.

So what’s the overall game appearance like this year?

In case this game were as played from a good simple field, West Florida would certainly probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since the game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia will be on an unprecedented spin. They will haven’t lost given that July. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they dropped to Florida Tech. In แทงบาคาร่า -5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last being unfaithful games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their final 10 ROUTE games.

These kind of are some very impressive stats that tilt often the scales in favor associated with WVU regarding tonight’s gaming. Plus, the extra benefit is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This will likely not seem like substantially, but in a close up match-up like this, that extra point will certainly make the difference between the push together with a loss.

But some of us wonder what about Louisville?

Louisville’s statistics are almost as good as WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville in the point spread. In his or her last 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS into their last 10 home game titles.

Together with if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced in your house since Dec 16, the year 2003! During this recent run Louisville is hitting 49. some points for each game in your own home, while hitting only stopping 15. 7 points per game from home. In case anyone failed to do the mathmatical, that means due to the fact their own last home reduction they’ve averaged beating his or her opponents by way of about thirty four points per game.

What’s more remarkable, the average line in these games has only been recently 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten this pass on, on average, simply by 13 details per video game at home considering that 2003.

Wow… how can a person not in favor of that?

Here’s the way…

The majority of those stats have been developed during the 2004 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to very good than great. They also have possessed recent games through which they have already only scored twenty eight, 23, 24 points. And the online games weren’t against Ohio Stycken. or Michigan. These people ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

To put it succinctly the fact that this is still a close match to call up. But the things i look to get is West Virginia’s protection to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s virtually no purpose to think WVU can’t hold them to the low to mid 20’s. My honest advice is usually to lay off this kind of game and not guarantee at all. There are better games this quick with more simple positive aspects.

The final score of this game was Louisville forty four, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to give back a punt for some sort of TD. The results was the fact that West Virginia’s fringe was not so big that they can could still win immediately after generating so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this particular game, people really serious concerning gambling saved money they can put to better work with on forthcoming games.