Sports bets can be quite profitable if a person know the techniques the particular “smart money” bettors use to consistently make money. One of the biggest secrets that clever money gamblers use is usually knowing when NOT to help bet.

Here’s a perfect example. My spouse and i analyzed this Rest of the world Las vegas vs. Louisville activity, and concluded the fact that West Va had often the edge in the game. Nevertheless , My spouse and i also came to the realization that there were a lot of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to my clients that they do not guarantee on this game. Here is my own analysis I released prior to the game:

West Florida or Louisville

This sport has all the indications of being one regarding the greatest games associated with the year, with both teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, both together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, along with Rest of the world Virginia coming back again from becoming down major in the next 1 / 4 to winning within overtime.

So what’s totalwrc like this year?

If this video game were turning into played with the simple field, West Las vegas would certainly probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since this game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented move. These people haven’t lost due to the fact April. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they shed to California Tech. On the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last dokuz games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 HIGHWAY games.

These types of are some very outstanding stats that tilt typically the scales in favor connected with WVU regarding tonight’s games. Plus, typically the included reward is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This can not seem like significantly, but in a shut match-up such as this, that extra point can make the difference between the push and even a loss.

But what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s stats are really almost as good like WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville within the point spread. In his or her past 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS in their very last 10 home games.

In addition to if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t missing in your own home since 12 , 17, the year 2003! During this present run Louisville is averaging 49. four points every game in your own home, while hitting only quitting 15. 8 points each game on home. In case an individual did not do the figures, that means considering that their very own last home reduction they already have averaged beating his or her adversaries simply by about thirty four details per game.

Even greater extraordinary, the average line in these games has only been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten the particular range, on average, by means of 13 items per activity at home due to the fact the year 2003.

Wow… how can an individual go against that?

Here’s just how…

Many of those stats have been piled up during the july 2004 season. In 2010, 2006, Louisville has been closer to excellent than great. They’ve acquired recent games by which they’ve only scored twenty eight, twenty three, 24 points. That activities weren’t against Iowa E. or Michigan. These people were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.

The end result is the fact that this is still a close sport to call. Nevertheless the things i look to get is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s virtually no purpose to think WVU can’t hold them to the particular low to mid 20’s. My honest professional recommendation is definitely to lay off that game and not necessarily gamble at all. There are usually better video games this weekend with more clear-cut positive aspects.

The final score of the game was Louisville forty four, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to gain some sort of punt for a good TD. The bottom line was that West Virginia’s borders weren’t so big that they can still win following producing so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this kind of match, people severe with regards to sports betting saved money they can offer better make use of on forthcoming games.