Sports playing can be very profitable if you know the tricks this “smart money” gamblers employ to consistently make income. One of the greatest secrets that clever money bettors use will be knowing when NOT to be able to bet.

Here’s a perfect example of this. My partner and i analyzed the particular Western side California vs. Louisville game, and concluded that West Florida had typically the edge in the sport. Nonetheless My spouse and i also understood that there were a lot of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to my clients that they accomplish not wager on that game. Here is the analysis I released before the game:

West Florida or Louisville

This sport possesses all the indications of being one connected with the best games of the year, with equally teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. https://www.ufabet168.info/%E0%B8%AA%E0%B8%A1%E0%B8%B1%E0%B8%84%E0%B8%A3ufabet/ was a classic, with Western side Virginia coming back again from being down large in the fourth 1 fourth to winning throughout overtime.

So what’s the action appearance like this year?

When this game were being played in a basic field, West Florida would certainly probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since this game was in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented rotate. Many people haven’t lost since April. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they dropped to Va Tech. Inside the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last being unfaithful games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 STREET games.

These kind of are some very extraordinary stats that tilt this scales in favor regarding WVU intended for tonight’s online game. Plus, the included reward is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This will likely not seem like significantly, but in a near match-up this way, that special point could make the variation between some sort of push together with a loss.

But some of us wonder what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s stats are generally almost as good since WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville within the point spread. In his or her very last 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS within their final 10 home video games.

In addition to if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t shed in your house since 12 , 18, 2003! During this present run Louisville is hitting 49. some points for each game at home, while hitting only giving up 15. 7 points for every game with home. In case you don’t do the math concepts, that means due to the fact their own last home decline they have already averaged beating their own competitors by means of about thirty four factors per game.

What’s more amazing, the average line in these games has only been 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten the particular divide, on average, by simply 13 details per video game at home considering that the year 2003.

Wow… how can a person not in favor of that?

Here’s precisely how…

Many of those stats ended up developed during the 2006 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to excellent than great. They also have experienced recent games where they’ve only scored 35, twenty-three, 24 points. And these activities weren’t against Oh Saint. or Michigan. They will were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.

In essence of which this is still a good close video game to get in touch with. Yet the things i look to get is West Virginia’s safety to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s virtually no factor to think WVU can’t hold them to this low to the middle of 20’s. My honest professional recommendation will be to lay off this kind of game and certainly not bet at all. There are usually better activities this weekend break with more simple strengths.

The final score on this game was Louisville forty four, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to return a new punt for a new TD. The bottom line was the fact that West Virginia’s edge wasn’t so big that they can could still win following producing so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on this kind of sport, people serious concerning sports betting saved money that they can put to better make use of on coming games.