Sports betting can be very profitable if a person know the tricks typically the “smart money” gamblers use to consistently make income. One of the greatest secrets that smart money gamblers use is definitely knowing when NOT to bet.

Here’s a excellent instance. We analyzed often the Western Virginia vs. Louisville video game, and concluded the fact that West Virginia had often the edge in the sport. Nevertheless , We also realized that there are a whole lot of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to my clients that they do not gamble on this particular game. Here is my own analysis I released before the game:

West California versus Louisville

This activity features all the indications of being one of the ideal games regarding the year, using both equally teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia versus. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, together with West Virginia coming again from staying down big in the 4th one fourth to winning around overtime.

So what’s the game look like this year?

If this activity were appearing played from the natural field, West Va will probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since often the game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia will be on an unprecedented move. Many people haven’t lost given that March. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they shed to Virginia Tech. Through the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last nine activities overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their final 10 ROAD games.

All these are some very extraordinary stats that tilt typically the scales in favor connected with WVU intended for tonight’s game. Plus, often the extra bonus offer is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This may not appear like significantly, but in a shut match-up such as this, that spare point can make the change between some sort of push and a loss.

But you may be wondering what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s stats are almost as good since WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In www.ufabet168.bet/%e0%b8%9a%e0%b8%b2%e0%b8%84%e0%b8%b2%e0%b8%a3%e0%b9%88%e0%b8%b2 , Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS inside their final 10 home games.

Together with if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in the home since 12 17, 2003! During this existing run Louisville is averaging 49. 5 points per game at home, while averaging only giving up 15. seven points each game at home. In case anyone decided not to do the math concepts, that means due to the fact his or her last home loss they are yet to averaged beating their own oppositions by way of about thirty four details per game.

In addition outstanding, the average line in these games has only already been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten often the range, on average, by simply 13 details per activity at home due to the fact the year 2003.

Wow… how can anyone go against that?

Here’s precisely how…

The majority of those stats had been developed during the 2004 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to very good than great. They also have possessed recent games in which they are yet to only scored 36, 23, 24 points. And the activities weren’t against Iowa Saint. or Michigan. These people have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

To put it succinctly of which this is still a good close game to contact. But the things i look with regard to is West Virginia’s defense to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s virtually no factor to think WVU can’t have one to the particular low to core 20’s. My honest recommendation is definitely to lay off that game and certainly not gamble at all. There are better game titles this weekend break with more simple rewards.

The final score with this game was Louisville 44, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to go back a punt for a good TD. The results was that will West Virginia’s edge has not been so big that they could very well still win following doing so many mistakes. By simply not betting on that video game, people serious with regards to sports betting saved money many people can offer better apply on coming games.