Sports gambling can be quite profitable if a person know the techniques this “smart money” gamblers apply to consistently make cash. The most significant secrets that wise money bettors use will be knowing when NOT to be able to bet.

Here’s a excellent case in point. My spouse and i analyzed this Western Virginia vs. Louisville video game, and concluded that West Las vegas had the edge in the match. Nevertheless , I also recognized that there initially were a whole lot of random and capricious factors, and recommended to my clients that they carry out not wager on this particular game. Here is my analysis I released before the game:

West Virginia vs . Louisville

This game possesses all the indications of being one regarding the very best games involving the year, together with equally teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, the two together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, with Western world Virginia coming back from staying down major in the 4th 1 fourth to winning within overtime, however,.

So what’s the adventure search like this year?

In the event this game were turning into played in a basic field, West Virginia might probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since often the game was in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia will be on an unprecedented rotate. That แทงบอลออนไลน์ haven’t lost since March. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they lost to Florida Tech. Inside the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last nine video games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their final 10 ROAD games.

All these are some very amazing stats that tilt often the scales in favor involving WVU regarding tonight’s game. Plus, the additional reward is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This can not appear like substantially, but in a in close proximity match-up such as this, that excess point could make the variation between a good push and a loss.

But some of us wonder what about Louisville?

Louisville’s gambling are really almost as good since WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their very own past 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS within their previous 10 home activities.

Together with if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped in your own home since 12 17, 2003! During this present run Louisville is hitting 49. 4 points every game in your own home, while hitting only leaving behind 15. 7 points per game in home. In case anyone did not do the math, that means considering that his or her last home damage they’ve averaged beating their particular oppositions by way of about thirty four details per game.

Even greater outstanding, the average line during these games has only been recently 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten typically the get spread around, on average, simply by 13 things per online game at home considering the year 2003.

Wow… how can an individual not in favor of that?

Here’s exactly how…

Almost all of those stats ended up piled up during the 2006 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to excellent than great. They’ve acquired recent games in which they already have only scored twenty eight, twenty three, 24 points. These types of game titles weren’t against Kansas E. or Michigan. Many people have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

The bottom line is that will this is still a close match to phone. Nonetheless the things i look intended for is West Virginia’s protection to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s no explanation to think WVU can’t have one to often the low to middle 20’s. My honest professional recommendation can be to lay off this kind of game and not necessarily bet at all. There happen to be better game titles this weekend break with more simple strengths.

The final score in this game was Louisville forty four, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to return some sort of punt for a new TD. The bottom line was of which West Virginia’s borders wasn’t so big that they may possibly still win right after doing so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this particular match, people significant regarding sports betting saved money these people can offer better make use of on approaching games.