Sports betting is often very profitable if a person know the tricks often the “smart money” bettors use to consistently make money. The most significant secrets that clever money bettors use will be knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a ideal case in point. We analyzed typically the Western side Virginia vs. Louisville activity, and concluded that will West Florida had typically the edge in the sport. However , We also realized that there was a lot of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not bet on this particular game. Here is the analysis I released ahead of the game:

West Va or Louisville

This game features all the indicators of being one of the ideal games involving the year, with equally teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, both having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, using Western side Virginia coming again from becoming down massive in the fourth 1 / 4 to winning in overtime, however,.

So what’s the overall game appearance like this year?

In case this activity were getting played on the natural field, West California would likely probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since คาสิโนออนไลน์อันดับ1 is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia will be on an unprecedented throw. That they haven’t lost given that Oct. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they shed to Va Tech. In the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last nine activities overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 10 STREET games.

These types of are some very extraordinary stats that tilt often the scales in favor connected with WVU with regard to tonight’s online. Plus, typically the additional reward is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This might not seem like significantly, but in a close up match-up like this, that excess point will make the change between some sort of push and even a loss.

But some of us wonder what about Louisville?

Louisville’s stats are usually almost as good like WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville in the point spread. In his or her previous 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS inside their final 10 home games.

And even if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in your own home since January 20, the year 2003! During this present run Louisville is hitting 49. five points for each game at home, while averaging only letting go of 15. 8 points for every game in home. In case you didn’t do the math concepts, that means since their particular last home damage they’ve averaged beating his or her oppositions by way of about thirty four points per game.

In addition impressive, the average line during these games has only recently been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten typically the range, on average, by 13 details per online game at home considering the year 2003.

Wow… how can a person go against that?

Here’s precisely how…

The majority of those stats were being piled up during the 2004 season. In 2010, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to good than great. They have already acquired recent games by which they are yet to only scored 28, 3, 24 points. These activities weren’t against Kentkucky Stycken. or Michigan. They had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

The bottom line is of which this is still a good close activity to call up. Although the things i look to get is West Virginia’s safety to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s not any factor to think WVU can’t have one to typically the low to mid 20’s. My honest advice can be to lay off that game and certainly not guarantee at all. There are usually better activities this end of the week with more simple benefits.

The final score with this game was Louisville 44, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to come back a new punt for a good TD. The results was the fact that West Virginia’s advantage has not been so big which they may possibly still win right after making so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this kind of match, people critical regarding sports betting saved money they can offer better apply on upcoming games.