Sports playing is often very profitable if you know the tricks typically the “smart money” gamblers work with to consistently make cash. One of the greatest secrets that intelligent money gamblers use is usually knowing when NOT to be able to bet.

Here’s a perfect illustration. My partner and i analyzed typically the Rest of the world Virginia vs. Louisville video game, and concluded the fact that West Florida had the particular edge in the sport. Yet , I also came to the realization that there was a great deal of random and unknown factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not bet on this particular game. Here is my analysis I released just before the game:

West California versus Louisville

This sport offers all the indicators of being one associated with the ideal games associated with the year, using each teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, each with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, together with Rest of the world Virginia coming again from appearing down big in the next 1 / 4 to winning in overtime, however,.

So what’s the action seem like this year?

When this game were getting played in a neutral field, West California might probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since often the game was in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented throw. They will haven’t lost considering July. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they shed to Las vegas Tech. Inside เซ็กซี่บาคาร่า ‘re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last dokuz games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 ROAD games.

All these are some very impressive stats that tilt the scales in favor regarding WVU for tonight’s online. Plus, the added in bonus is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This can not seem to be like significantly, but in a in close proximity match-up like this, that more point can make the variation between a good push together with a loss.

But you may be wondering what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s figures are really almost as good like WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their very own past 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS within their very last 10 home video games.

Plus if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in your house since 12 , 17, 2003! During this existing run Louisville is averaging 49. five points per game in your own home, while averaging only letting go of 15. 6 points per game with home. In case an individual didn’t do the math concepts, that means considering their own last home damage they’ve averaged beating their adversaries by way of about thirty four items per game.

What’s more outstanding, the average line in these games has only recently been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten typically the get spread around, on average, by means of 13 factors per game at home considering the year 2003.

Wow… how can you not in favor of that?

Here’s the way…

The majority of those stats ended up built up during the 2006 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to great than great. They’ve acquired recent games in which they are yet to only scored 36, twenty three, 24 points. And these game titles weren’t against Kansas Stycken. or Michigan. They had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

In essence that this is still a new close game to call up. Yet the things i look with regard to is West Virginia’s security to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s no purpose to think WVU can’t have one to this low to middle 20’s. My honest advice can be to lay off that game and not gamble at all. There will be better activities this weekend break with more simple advantages.

The final score of the game was Louisville forty four, West California 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles in addition to allowed Lousiville to go back a punt for the TD. The bottom line was that will West Virginia’s border wasn’t so big that they can can still win following making so many mistakes. By not betting on this specific game, people severe about wagering saved money many people can offer better use on coming games.