Sports playing can be extremely profitable if you know the secrets often the “smart money” gamblers apply to consistently make money. One of the biggest secrets that sensible money bettors use can be knowing when NOT to bet.

Here’s a best example of this. I actually analyzed the particular Western world Virginia vs. Louisville video game, and concluded of which West California had this edge in the match. Yet , I actually also came to the realization that there initially were a whole lot of random and unknown factors, and recommended to my clients that they accomplish not bet on that game. Here is my personal analysis I released just before the game:

West Va versus Louisville

This game has all the indications of being one of the very best games involving the year, using equally teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, equally along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, using Rest of the world Virginia coming back from being down massive in the final one fourth to winning around overtime.

So what’s the game search like this year?

When this match were as played from the basic field, West California would probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since this game was in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is on an unprecedented move. That they haven’t lost considering Oct. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they shed to Virginia Tech. Inside the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last dokuz activities overall, and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 HIGHWAY games.

These kind of are some very amazing stats that tilt this scales in favor connected with WVU regarding tonight’s online. Plus, typically the included benefit is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This could not seem like very much, but in a close match-up such as this, that more point will certainly make the change between some sort of push and a loss.

But what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s stats are really almost as good because WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their particular very last 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS into their final 10 home games.

Plus if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t shed at your home since January eighteen, the year 2003! During this existing run Louisville is hitting 49. 4 points per game in your own home, while averaging only giving up 15. 8 points per game at home. In case anyone decided not to do the mathematics, that means considering that their very own last home reduction they’ve averaged beating their particular opposing team by simply about thirty four points per game.

Even greater outstanding, the average line in these games has only also been 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten typically the range, on average, simply by 13 items per video game at home considering 2003.

Wow… how can ufabet168.info/%E0%B8%AA%E0%B8%A1%E0%B8%B1%E0%B8%84%E0%B8%A3ufabet not in favor of that?

Here’s how…

The majority of those stats were developed during the 2006 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to very good than great. They are yet to possessed recent games through which they have already only scored twenty-eight, twenty-three, 24 points. These types of activities weren’t against Oh Street. or Michigan. They will have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

The bottom line is of which this is still the close activity to phone. Nevertheless what I look intended for is West Virginia’s protection to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s not any cause to think WVU can’t have one to the particular low to middle of the 20’s. My honest endorsement is usually to lay off this game and not bet at all. There are usually better games this end of the week with more simple rewards.

The final score with this game was Louisville 46, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to come back a new punt for the TD. The results was the fact that West Virginia’s fringe was not so big they will could still win right after producing so many mistakes. By not betting on that activity, people severe regarding sports betting saved money that they can put to better work with on upcoming games.