Sports gambling is often very profitable if anyone know the tricks this “smart money” gamblers use to consistently make dollars. Most significant secrets that wise money gamblers use is usually knowing when NOT to be able to bet.

Here’s a perfect example. We analyzed the Western world Florida vs. Louisville game, and concluded the fact that West California had the edge in the game. Nevertheless , I also recognized that there have been a good deal of random and unstable factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not bet on this particular game. Here is our analysis I released prior to the game:

West California vs . Louisville

This online game possesses all the symptoms of being one associated with the most effective games associated with the year, with both teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, the two together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, along with Western world Virginia coming back from staying down massive in the independence day fraction to winning around overtime.

So what’s the overall game seem like this year?

When this sport were as played with the natural field, West Florida would certainly probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since this game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented spin. Many people haven’t lost given that Jan. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they shed to Florida Tech. Through the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last being unfaithful activities overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their very last 10 ROUTE games.

All these are some very outstanding stats that tilt the particular scales in favor associated with WVU for tonight’s games. Plus, often the extra bonus is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. https://www.totalwrc.com/ could not look like substantially, but in a near match-up this way, that spare point could make the big difference between the push together with a loss.

But what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s gambling are almost as good while WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their very own very last 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS into their previous 10 home game titles.

Plus if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t missing in your own home since 12 eighteen, the year 2003! During this current run Louisville is hitting 49. five points for each game in the home, while hitting only giving up 15. six points for every game in home. In case an individual did not do the mathmatical, that means considering his or her last home loss they already have averaged beating their particular opponents by simply about thirty four items per game.

Furthermore amazing, the average line in these games has only also been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten typically the range, on average, simply by 13 items per game at home due to the fact the year 2003.

Wow… how can you go against that?

Here’s precisely how…

Many of those stats were being developed during the july 2004 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to fine than great. They are yet to had recent games in which they have already only scored 35, twenty three, 24 points. And these activities weren’t against Iowa St. or Michigan. They will have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

The bottom line is that this is still some sort of close game to contact. Although what I look for is West Virginia’s protection to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s no cause to think WVU can’t have one to this low to the middle of 20’s. My honest suggestion is definitely to lay off this game and not guess at all. There will be better games this quick with more clear-cut advantages.

The final score in this game was Louisville 44, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to gain some sort of punt for a new TD. The bottom line was of which West Virginia’s borders has not been so big that they can still win soon after producing so many mistakes. By means of not betting on this sport, people really serious concerning gambling saved money they will can offer better apply on forthcoming games.