Sports wagering is often very profitable if an individual know the techniques often the “smart money” bettors work with to consistently make cash. One of the biggest secrets that wise money bettors use is definitely knowing when NOT to be able to bet.

Here’s a excellent instance. I actually analyzed this West Va vs. Louisville match, and concluded that will West Va had the edge in the sport. Nonetheless I actually also recognized that there initially were a lot of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not bet on this game. Here is my own analysis I released before the game:

West Va or Louisville

This online game has all the indications of being one connected with the ideal games associated with the year, using each teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, the two having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, using Western world Virginia coming rear from becoming down massive in the 4th one fourth to winning in overtime, however,.

So what’s the game appearance like this year?

In the event this match were appearing played at the neutral field, West Florida will probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since often the game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia will be on an unprecedented throw. That they haven’t lost considering that July. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they dropped to Florida Tech. Inside the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 9 games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their final 10 HIGHWAY games.

These are some very impressive stats that tilt this scales in favor associated with WVU with regard to tonight’s games. Plus, the included bonus offer is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This may not look like much, but in a shut match-up such as this, that spare point might make the difference between a push and a loss.

But what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s gambling are generally almost as good while WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their own previous 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS within their final 10 home games.

And if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced in your own home since 12 , 17, the year 2003! During this existing run Louisville is averaging 49. some points for each game in your house, while averaging only giving up 15. 8 points each game from home. In case anyone failed to do the math, that means since their last home damage they also have averaged beating their very own adversaries by about 34 points per game.

What’s more remarkable, the average line in these games has only been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten the particular get spread around, on average, by simply 13 points per video game at home considering that 2003.

Wow… how can a person go against that?

Here’s exactly how…

The majority of those stats were established during the 2005 season. Shock as to, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to great than great. They also have got recent games by which they are yet to only scored 28, 3, 24 points. That games weren’t against Oh St. or Michigan. That they ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

The end result is that this is still a good close sport to get in touch with. Yet what I look for is West Virginia’s security to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s simply no factor to think WVU can’t have one to typically the low to the middle of 20’s. My honest professional recommendation can be to lay off this specific game and not wager at all. There happen to be better video games this quick with more simple benefits.

The final score in this game was Louisville forty four, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to give back some sort of punt for a TD. เล่นมวย was the fact that West Virginia’s borders wasn’t so big which they can still win after doing so many mistakes. By means of not betting on this game, people critical with regards to gambling saved money that they can offer better use on coming games.