Sports wagering can be very profitable if an individual know the secrets and techniques often the “smart money” bettors make use of to consistently make income. One of the greatest secrets that intelligent money bettors use is definitely knowing when NOT in order to bet.

Here’s a perfect illustration. My spouse and i analyzed the particular Western California vs. Louisville game, and concluded that West Las vegas had typically the edge in the match. However , We also recognized that there initially were a good deal of random and unstable factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not bet on this particular game. Here is my own analysis I released ahead of the game:

West Florida versus Louisville

This video game provides all the symptoms of being one associated with the most effective games connected with the year, having both equally teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, both along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, along with Rest of the world Virginia coming rear from staying down large in the fourth 1 / 4 to winning within overtime, however,.

So what’s the overall game look like this year?

In the event this video game were getting played in a new simple field, West California would certainly probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since the game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia will be on an unprecedented throw. That they haven’t lost considering July. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they lost to California Tech. Inside the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their final 10 STREET games.

These kind of are some very extraordinary stats that tilt the scales in favor involving WVU for tonight’s online. Plus, the extra benefit is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This could not seem to be like very much, but in a near match-up similar to this, that special point will certainly make the change between some sort of push and a loss.

But what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s gambling are really almost as good like WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their own very last 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS in their previous 10 home game titles.

Plus if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped in your own home since 12 , eighteen, 2003! During this recent run Louisville is hitting 49. 4 points for each game in your own home, while hitting only quitting 15. seven points for each game at home. In case an individual did not do the math, that means given that their own last home decline they are yet to averaged beating their very own oppositions by means of about thirty four items per game.

What’s more impressive, the average line during these games has only recently been 21 points. That ufabet168.bet/%e0%b8%aa%e0%b8%a5%e0%b9%87%e0%b8%ad%e0%b8%95pg%e0%b9%80%e0%b8%a7%e0%b9%87%e0%b8%9a%e0%b8%95%e0%b8%a3%e0%b8%87 has beaten the get spread around, on average, by way of 13 items per sport at home due to the fact the year 2003.

Wow… how can a person go against that?

Here’s just how…

Nearly all of those stats were being built up during the 2006 season. Shock as to, 2006, Louisville has been closer to good than great. They have already got recent games by which they also have only scored 28, 3, 24 points. These types of game titles weren’t against Kansas E. or Michigan. That they were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.

To put it succinctly of which this is still a close sport to call up. Nevertheless what I look regarding is West Virginia’s security to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s not any factor to think WVU can’t hold them to the low to core 20’s. My honest suggestion is usually to lay off this specific game and not really wager at all. There will be better games this end of the week with more simple advantages.

The final score in this game was Louisville forty four, West California 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to give back a punt for some sort of TD. The bottom line was the fact that West Virginia’s border wasn’t so big they may still win immediately after generating so many mistakes. By means of not betting on this particular game, people significant about sports betting saved money they will can offer better use on coming games.