Sports playing can be extremely profitable if a person know the secrets typically the “smart money” gamblers make use of to consistently make income. One of the primary secrets that clever money bettors use can be knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a perfect case in point. I actually analyzed the Western side California vs. Louisville game, and concluded that will West Virginia had this edge in the activity. Yet , I actually also came to the realization that there are a lot of random and unknown factors, and recommended to my clients that they perform not gamble on that game. Here is the analysis I released ahead of the game:

West Florida versus Louisville

This game offers all the signals of being one of the best games associated with the year, together with equally teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, equally with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, using West Virginia coming rear from appearing down big in the final one fourth to winning in overtime, however,.

So what’s the adventure search like this year?

In the event that this game were being played at the natural field, West Las vegas might probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since often the game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia is on an unprecedented move. Many people haven’t lost considering that July. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they missing to Va Tech. Through the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last dokuz game titles overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their previous 10 ROAD games.

These kind of are some very amazing stats that tilt often the scales in favor connected with WVU intended for tonight’s games. Plus, often the added benefit is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This may not seem to be like significantly, but in a shut match-up this way, that excess point will make the change between a push and even a loss.

But some of us wonder what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s gambling may be almost as good like WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville within the point spread. In his or her final 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS inside their final 10 home game titles.

And if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t shed in your house since Dec 16, the year 2003! During this current run Louisville is hitting 49. some points each game in your house, while hitting only leaving behind 15. 7 points each game on home. In case a person failed to do the math concepts, that means considering their particular last home decline they also have averaged beating their oppositions by simply about 34 factors per game.

Even บาคาร่าสด , the average line during these games has only recently been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten typically the pass on, on average, by 13 items per game at home since the year 2003.

Wow… how can an individual not in favor of that?

Here’s the way…

The majority of those stats ended up piled up during the july 2004 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to excellent than great. They are yet to possessed recent games where they are yet to only scored 36, twenty three, 24 points. That game titles weren’t against Ohio St. or Michigan. That they were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.

To put it succinctly that will this is still a good close match to call up. Although the things i look with regard to is West Virginia’s protection to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s simply no cause to think WVU can’t have one to this low to mid 20’s. My honest professional recommendation is usually to lay off this game and not necessarily gamble at all. There happen to be better activities this quick with more clear-cut rewards.

The final score of this game was Louisville 46, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to come back some sort of punt for the TD. The results was the fact that West Virginia’s advantage has not been so big that they could very well still win right after generating so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this specific sport, people really serious with regards to sports betting saved money many people can put to better employ on future games.