Sports gambling is often very profitable if a person know the strategies the “smart money” gamblers make use of to consistently make money. Most significant secrets that clever money bettors use can be knowing when NOT in order to bet.

Here’s a excellent example of this. My spouse and i analyzed typically the West Virginia vs. Louisville video game, and concluded that will West Va had the edge in the video game. However , We also recognized that there was a good deal of random and capricious factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not guarantee on this game. Here is our analysis I released just before the game:

West Florida or Louisville

This online game has all the signals of being one connected with the very best games regarding the year, together with both equally teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, both with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, together with Western world Virginia coming again from appearing down big in the 4th fraction to winning throughout overtime.

So what’s the adventure look like this year?

In the event this sport were getting played in some sort of fairly neutral field, West Las vegas will probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since the particular game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented rotate. They haven’t lost due to the fact Oct. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they lost to Florida Tech. In the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last being unfaithful video games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 ROAD games.

These are some very remarkable stats that tilt the scales in favor regarding WVU to get tonight’s gaming. Plus, typically the added in benefit is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This may not seem like much, but in a close up match-up similar to this, that spare point will certainly make the variation between the push together with a loss.

But some of us wonder what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s figures are usually almost as good while WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In his or her very last 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS within their final 10 home activities.

Together with if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t shed at your home since Dec 17, the year 2003! During this current run Louisville is hitting 49. five points per game at home, while hitting only letting go of 15. 7 points per game with home. In case anyone failed to do the figures, that means since their very own last home decline they have already averaged beating their very own adversaries by way of about thirty four factors per game.

In addition impressive, the average line during these games has only already been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten typically the range, on average, by way of 13 things per video game at home given that 2003.

Wow… how can anyone go against that?

Here’s precisely how…

Almost all of those stats have been developed during the 2006 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to great than great. They also have possessed recent games where they’ve only scored 35, 3, 24 points. These types of activities weren’t against Kansas Saint. or Michigan. They will were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.

Basically of which this is still a close video game to call up. Yet what ufabet168.info look with regard to is West Virginia’s security to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s virtually no factor to think WVU can’t hold them to typically the low to core 20’s. My honest advice is to lay off this particular game and certainly not gamble at all. There will be better activities this quick with more simple advantages.

The final score of the game was Louisville 44, West California 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to give back some sort of punt for a TD. The results was that will West Virginia’s edge has not been so big which they could still win immediately after generating so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this particular sport, people critical concerning wagering saved money they can put to better apply on approaching games.