Sports playing can be very profitable if an individual know the secrets this “smart money” bettors apply to consistently make cash. One of the primary secrets that intelligent money gamblers use is definitely knowing when NOT in order to bet.

Here’s a excellent illustration. I analyzed the particular Western world California vs. Louisville activity, and concluded that West California had the particular edge in the sport. However , I actually also came to the realization that there were a whole lot of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to my clients that they accomplish not guarantee on this specific game. Here is my analysis I released just before the game:

West Las vegas versus Louisville

This game has all the signals of being one regarding the very best games of the year, with equally teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, using Rest of the world Virginia coming back again from becoming down huge in the fourth 1 / 4 to winning in overtime, however,.

So what’s the sport look like this year?

When this sport were being played at a good neutral field, West California would certainly probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since the particular game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

teamsnowdragons.com is usually on an unprecedented spin. They will haven’t lost considering April. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they dropped to Las vegas Tech. On the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last being unfaithful game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 PATH games.

These types of are some very impressive stats that tilt the particular scales in favor involving WVU to get tonight’s games. Plus, this additional bonus is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This might not look like substantially, but in a in close proximity match-up like this, that more point will make the difference between a push plus a loss.

But what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s gambling are usually almost as good like WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their very own past 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS within their previous 10 home games.

Together with if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t shed in the home since 12 eighteen, the year 2003! During this present run Louisville is hitting 49. 5 points each game at your home, while averaging only quitting 15. 7 points each game at home. In case anyone don’t do the math concepts, that means given that their own last home damage they already have averaged beating their competitors by way of about thirty four things per game.

What’s more amazing, the average line during these games has only already been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten typically the pass on, on average, by 13 things per online game at home since the year 2003.

Wow… how can anyone go against that?

Here’s just how…

Almost all of those stats have been piled up during the 2004 season. In 2010, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to great than great. They also have got recent games by which they are yet to only scored twenty-eight, 23, 24 points. And these online games weren’t against Oh Street. or Michigan. They had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

The end result is that will this is still a new close match to get in touch with. Yet the things i look regarding is West Virginia’s defense to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s no cause to think WVU can’t hold them to the low to core 20’s. My honest professional recommendation is to lay off this particular game and not wager at all. There happen to be better activities this weekend break with more simple advantages.

The final score in this game was Louisville 46, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to go back a punt for some sort of TD. The results was of which West Virginia’s edge has not been so big they will may still win right after producing so many mistakes. By means of not betting on that sport, people significant about gambling saved money that they can put to better use on approaching games.