Sports gambling can be quite profitable if you know the tricks often the “smart money” gamblers use to consistently make money. The most significant secrets that smart money bettors use is usually knowing when NOT to be able to bet.

Here’s a perfect case in point. I actually analyzed often the Western Las vegas vs. Louisville activity, and concluded of which West Florida had this edge in the match. Nonetheless My spouse and i also understood that there are a good deal of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to my clients that they perform not wager on this kind of game. Here is my personal analysis I released in advance of the game:

West Las vegas vs . Louisville

This video game has all the symptoms of being one regarding the greatest games regarding the year, along with both equally teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, the two having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, having West Virginia coming rear from becoming down large in the 4th quarter to winning inside overtime, however,.

So what’s the game seem like this year?

When this game were getting played at the fairly neutral field, West Florida would probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since often the game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented move. These people haven’t lost since July. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they lost to Florida Tech. Inside the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last nine game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 HIGHWAY games.

These kinds of are some very impressive stats that tilt the particular scales in favor of WVU intended for tonight’s gaming. Plus, typically the added in bonus is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This can not seem to be like substantially, but in a shut match-up like this, that spare point could make the variation between a new push plus a loss.

But some of us wonder what about Louisville?

Louisville’s figures are really almost as good as WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their very own past 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS into their previous 10 home video games.

In addition to if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t lost at home since December 16, the year 2003! During UFABET168 existing run Louisville is averaging 49. four points per game in your own home, while hitting only stopping 15. seven points each game in home. In case a person decided not to do the figures, that means considering his or her last home decline they also have averaged beating their very own opposing team by way of about 34 details per game.

Furthermore remarkable, the average line in these games has only already been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten this spread, on average, by means of 13 factors per online game at home considering that the year 2003.

Wow… how can an individual go against that?

Here’s the way…

Nearly all of those stats were established during the 2004 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been closer to very good than great. They are yet to had recent games where they already have only scored twenty eight, twenty-three, 24 points. And the activities weren’t against Kentkucky Street. or Michigan. They will have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

In essence that will this is still a close sport to phone. Yet the things i look for is West Virginia’s safety to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s virtually no purpose to think WVU can’t hold them to typically the low to the middle of 20’s. My honest endorsement can be to lay off this particular game and not necessarily gamble at all. There are usually better activities this weekend with more clear-cut rewards.

The final score with this game was Louisville forty-four, West California 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to go back the punt for a good TD. The results was that will West Virginia’s border had not been so big which they could still win right after making so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on this particular sport, people really serious about wagering saved money these people can put to better apply on forthcoming games.