Sports bets are often very profitable if a person know the secrets and techniques the “smart money” bettors make use of to consistently make dollars. One of the primary secrets that intelligent money gamblers use is usually knowing when NOT to help bet.

Here’s a best case in point. I actually analyzed often the Western side Va vs. Louisville sport, and concluded of which West Va had the edge in the game. However , I also realized that there have been a lot of random and unknown factors, and recommended to my clients that they carry out not wager on this specific game. Here is our analysis I released before the game:

West Florida vs . Louisville

This activity provides all the signs of being one associated with the very best games regarding the year, along with both equally teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, equally having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, having West Virginia coming back from staying down major in the fourth quarter to winning throughout overtime.

So what’s the sport look like this year?

In case this activity were getting played in a fairly neutral field, West Las vegas would likely probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since the particular game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented spin. That they haven’t lost given that April. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they missing to Las vegas Tech. Inside the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last nine game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their final 10 ROUTE games.

These kind of are some very remarkable stats that tilt the scales in favor regarding WVU to get tonight’s game. Plus, this added benefit is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This could not seem to be like significantly, but in a near match-up this way, that excess point will make the variation between a good push in addition to a loss.

But some of us wonder what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s figures are generally almost as good like WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In his or her last 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS inside their final 10 home video games.

And if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in your own home since Dec 16, 2003! During this existing run Louisville is averaging 49. five points every game at your home, while averaging only leaving behind 15. 8 points each game in home. In case a person don’t do the math concepts, that means given that his or her last home damage they also have averaged beating their own oppositions by about 34 things per game.

Furthermore impressive, the average line during these games has only been recently 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten the divide, on average, by simply 13 points per activity at home considering that 2003.

Wow… how can you not in favor of that?

Here’s precisely how…

Almost all of those stats ended up established during the june 2006 season. Sportsbook Software , 2006, Louisville has been nearer to great than great. They already have had recent games by which they’ve only scored twenty-eight, 3, 24 points. And these online games weren’t against Kentkucky E. or Michigan. That they have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.

To put it succinctly the fact that this is still a new close game to phone. Yet the things i look with regard to is West Virginia’s safety to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s simply no explanation to think WVU can’t have one to the particular low to core 20’s. My honest professional recommendation is usually to lay off that game and certainly not guarantee at all. There are usually better video games this end of the week with more clear-cut advantages.

The final score of the game was Louisville 44, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to return the punt for a good TD. The bottom line was of which West Virginia’s edge has not been so big which they could very well still win immediately after making so many mistakes. By way of not betting on that match, people significant with regards to sports betting saved money these people can offer better work with on forthcoming games.