Sports bets are often very profitable if you know the techniques typically the “smart money” gamblers make use of to consistently make cash. Most significant secrets that intelligent money gamblers use can be knowing when NOT in order to bet.

Here’s a perfect instance. My partner and i analyzed often the Western side California vs. Louisville video game, and concluded of which West Las vegas had the edge in the match. Nonetheless I also realized that there were a great deal of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to my clients that they accomplish not bet on this game. Here is my own analysis I released before the game:

West Las vegas versus Louisville

This video game has all the signs of being one of the most effective games regarding the year, with the two teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, both using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, together with Western side Virginia coming backside from staying down massive in the next 1 fourth to winning inside overtime, however,.

So what’s the action search like this year?

In the event this activity were getting played from a new basic field, West Florida would probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since typically the game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented move. They will haven’t lost considering that Jan. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they lost to Florida Tech. In the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last dokuz games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their very last 10 HIGHWAY games.

These kind of are some very extraordinary stats that tilt the scales in favor associated with WVU regarding tonight’s online game. Plus, typically the included added bonus is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This may not seem to be like significantly, but in a close up match-up like this, that spare point will make the difference between a push and even a loss.

But you may be wondering what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s statistics are usually almost as good as WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their very own past 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS within their final 10 home activities.

And if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in your house since January 20, 2003! During this recent run Louisville is hitting 49. five points each game at your home, while hitting only letting go of 15. seven points each game at home. In case an individual did not do the mathmatical, that means given that their particular last home reduction they also have averaged beating their own adversaries by means of about thirty four points per game.

In addition outstanding, the average line during these games has only been 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten the spread, on average, by simply 13 factors per activity at home due to the fact the year 2003.

Wow… how can an individual not in favor of that?

Here’s precisely how…

Nearly all of those stats were being established during the july 2004 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been closer to good than great. They have already acquired recent games in which they are yet to only scored twenty eight, twenty three, 24 points. These types of activities weren’t against Ohio Saint. or Michigan. They will have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

In ufabet168.info/ufabet-%E0%B9%80%E0%B8%82%E0%B9%89%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%AA%E0%B8%B9%E0%B9%88%E0%B8%A3%E0%B8%B0%E0%B8%9A%E0%B8%9A/ that this is still the close game to call. Yet the things i look regarding is West Virginia’s defense to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s zero reason to think WVU can’t have one to typically the low to mid 20’s. My honest professional recommendation is usually to lay off that game and not necessarily bet at all. There happen to be better game titles this weekend break with more clear-cut strengths.

The final score in this game was Louisville forty four, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles in addition to allowed Lousiville to come back the punt for the TD. The bottom line was of which West Virginia’s edge was not so big that they can may possibly still win soon after building so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this game, people critical with regards to wagering saved money they can offer better use on upcoming games.