Sports betting can be extremely profitable if a person know the secrets the “smart money” bettors apply to consistently make dollars. One of the greatest secrets that intelligent money bettors use is definitely knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a perfect illustration. I analyzed typically the Western California vs. Louisville game, and concluded that will West Florida had this edge in the activity. Yet , My partner and i also realized that there was a lot of random and unknown factors, and recommended to my clients that they carry out not bet on this kind of game. Here is my own analysis I released prior to the game:

West Las vegas versus Louisville

This game possesses all the symptoms of being one regarding the very best games regarding the year, along with both teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, equally along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, using Western Virginia coming back again from getting down massive in the fourth quarter to winning in overtime.

So what’s the adventure look like this year?

In the event this match were getting played in the simple field, West Florida would likely probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since the particular game was in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

https://www.ufabet168.info/%E0%B8%AA%E0%B8%A1%E0%B8%B1%E0%B8%84%E0%B8%A3ufabet/ will be on an unprecedented roll. These people haven’t lost given that Oct. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they shed to Florida Tech. Inside the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 9 games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 STREET games.

These kind of are some very remarkable stats that tilt typically the scales in favor involving WVU regarding tonight’s online game. Plus, the particular added in benefit is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This can not seem to be like very much, but in a close match-up such as this, that excess point might make the variation between the push and even a loss.

But some of us wonder what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s numbers are generally almost as good while WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In his or her previous 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS into their previous 10 home activities.

Plus if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped in your own home since December 18, 2003! During this present run Louisville is averaging 49. 5 points each game at your home, while averaging only giving up 15. six points for every game from home. In case you don’t do the mathmatical, that means since their own last home damage they are yet to averaged beating their own oppositions by means of about 34 points per game.

Even greater extraordinary, the average line in these games has only also been 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten the particular divide, on average, by 13 points per activity at home given that the year 2003.

Wow… how can you not in favor of that?

Here’s the way…

Many of those stats were piled up during the june 2006 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been closer to excellent than great. They are yet to experienced recent games by which they already have only scored 36, twenty three, 24 points. And the online games weren’t against Kansas E. or Michigan. These people ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.

In essence the fact that this is still a close video game to call up. But what I look for is West Virginia’s security to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s no cause to think WVU can’t hold them to often the low to mid 20’s. My honest suggestion is to lay off this game and not really guess at all. There are better activities this saturday and sunday with more simple benefits.

The final score on this game was Louisville forty-four, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to gain some sort of punt for a good TD. The results was that West Virginia’s advantage has not been so big they may still win immediately after building so many mistakes. By means of not betting on this particular sport, people serious concerning gambling saved money many people can put to better employ on future games.