Sports bets is often very profitable if you know the strategies often the “smart money” bettors make use of to consistently make money. One of the primary secrets that sensible money bettors use is usually knowing when NOT to help bet.

Here’s a ideal example. I analyzed often the West Las vegas vs. Louisville game, and concluded that will West Va had typically the edge in the game. Nonetheless My spouse and i also understood that there were a lot of random and unstable factors, and recommended to a clients that they perform not guess on this kind of game. Here is UFABET released in advance of the game:

West California or Louisville

This video game provides all the signs of being one involving the most effective games connected with the year, together with the two teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, each together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, using Western world Virginia coming back from being down huge in the final one fourth to winning throughout overtime.

So what’s the sport appear like this year?

In the event this sport were appearing played in the simple field, West Las vegas would certainly probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since often the game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia is on an unprecedented spin. They will haven’t lost considering that April. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they shed to Va Tech. On the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last nine video games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 ROUTE games.

These kind of are some very outstanding stats that tilt often the scales in favor involving WVU intended for tonight’s games. Plus, typically the additional bonus is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This may not seem to be like quite a bit, but in a shut match-up like this, that more point will make the change between a good push plus a loss.

But you may be wondering what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s figures are generally almost as good as WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville in the point spread. In his or her last 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS inside their previous 10 home activities.

And even if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t shed at your home since Dec 18, the year 2003! During this recent run Louisville is averaging 49. four points each game in your house, while averaging only giving up 15. 6 points every game from home. In case you decided not to do the figures, that means considering their particular last home damage they’ve averaged beating their particular oppositions by about thirty four factors per game.

In addition remarkable, the average line during these games has only been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten often the spread, on average, by 13 details per activity at home considering 2003.

Wow… how can a person go against that?

Here’s just how…

Almost all of those stats have been built up during the 2004 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to good than great. They’ve acquired recent games where they also have only scored 35, 3, 24 points. These video games weren’t against Kentkucky Stycken. or Michigan. They will were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

Basically that this is still a good close activity to call up. Although what I look with regard to is West Virginia’s defense to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s virtually no cause to think WVU can’t hold them to the particular low to middle of the 20’s. My honest professional recommendation is definitely to lay off this particular game and certainly not wager at all. There will be better video games this weekend with more simple benefits.

The final score on this game was Louisville 46, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to gain a good punt for a good TD. The bottom line was that West Virginia’s fringe had not been so big they will could very well still win right after doing so many mistakes. By not betting on this activity, people significant about wagering saved money these people can offer better use on approaching games.