Sports betting are often very profitable if anyone know the techniques typically the “smart money” gamblers apply to consistently make funds. One of the primary secrets that intelligent money bettors use will be knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a ideal case in point. My partner and i analyzed the particular Western side Florida vs. Louisville activity, and concluded that will West Va had this edge in the activity. Yet , My partner and i also recognized that there initially were a lot of random and capricious factors, and recommended to my clients that they accomplish not guess on this game. Here is my own analysis I released ahead of the game:

West Virginia versus Louisville

This online game possesses all the indicators of being one associated with the most effective games of the year, together with the two teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, each having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, together with Western Virginia coming rear from being down big in the fourth 1 fourth to winning inside overtime, however,.

So what’s the sport appearance like this year?

In case this match were getting played in a fairly neutral field, West Las vegas would probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since often the game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is on an unprecedented rotate. Many people haven’t lost considering that Oct. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they missing to Virginia Tech. Through the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last being unfaithful activities overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their very last 10 PATH games.

These kinds of are some very remarkable stats that tilt this scales in favor of WVU for tonight’s online game. Plus, typically the extra bonus offer is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This could not seem like substantially, but in a in close proximity match-up similar to this, that excess point might make the big difference between a push together with a loss.

But some of us wonder what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s numbers are usually almost as good as WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their past 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS inside their very last 10 home video games.

And if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a scary stat… www.ufabet168.bet/%e0%b9%81%e0%b8%97%e0%b8%87%e0%b8%9a%e0%b8%ad%e0%b8%a5 hasn’t lost in the home since 12 17, 2003! During this latest run Louisville is hitting 49. 4 points for every game at your home, while hitting only giving up 15. six points each game from home. In case anyone decided not to do the figures, that means given that their very own last home reduction they have already averaged beating his or her opposing team simply by about thirty four details per game.

What’s more impressive, the average line during these games has only been recently 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten the particular divide, on average, by 13 details per activity at home considering the year 2003.

Wow… how can anyone go against that?

Here’s how…

Most of those stats were being accumulated during the june 2006 season. In 2010, 2006, Louisville has been closer to good than great. They already have acquired recent games through which they are yet to only scored twenty-eight, twenty three, 24 points. And these games weren’t against Iowa Street. or Michigan. Many people have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.

In essence of which this is still a good close match to contact. Nonetheless the things i look regarding is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s zero reason to think WVU can’t hold them to the low to middle 20’s. My honest professional recommendation can be to lay off this kind of game and definitely not wager at all. There happen to be better activities this weekend break with more simple rewards.

The final score of this game was Louisville 44, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to return a new punt for some sort of TD. The results was that West Virginia’s fringe weren’t so big that they can could still win soon after generating so many mistakes. By means of not betting on this specific game, people serious with regards to gambling saved money many people can offer better work with on upcoming games.