Sports gambling can be extremely profitable if an individual know the strategies the particular “smart money” gamblers apply to consistently make dollars. One of the greatest secrets that wise money bettors use will be knowing when NOT in order to bet.

Here’s a excellent case in point. www.ufabet168.info/%E0%B8%9A%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%84%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%A3%E0%B9%88%E0%B8%B2-sa and i analyzed the Rest of the world California vs. Louisville activity, and concluded of which West Las vegas had the edge in the activity. Nevertheless , My spouse and i also noticed that there initially were a lot of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not guess on this specific game. Here is my own analysis I released ahead of the game:

West Florida or Louisville

This game has all the symptoms of being one of the ideal games associated with the year, having equally teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, both together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, together with West Virginia coming rear from becoming down massive in the next 1 / 4 to winning around overtime.

So what’s the adventure appear like this year?

When this video game were as played at a new basic field, West Florida would likely probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since this game was in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia will be on an unprecedented spin. They will haven’t lost since Jan. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they misplaced to Va Tech. On the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last nine video games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 PATH games.

These kinds of are some very extraordinary stats that tilt often the scales in favor involving WVU for tonight’s online. Plus, this included benefit is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This may not seem to be like very much, but in a near match-up this way, that extra point can make the difference between some sort of push in addition to a loss.

But some of us wonder what about Louisville?

Louisville’s stats may be almost as good as WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their particular very last 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS in their previous 10 home games.

And if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped in your own home since December 18, 2003! During this present run Louisville is hitting 49. four points for every game in your own home, while hitting only giving up 15. 7 points for each game in home. In case you decided not to do the figures, that means since their own last home damage they also have averaged beating his or her oppositions by about thirty four things per game.

In addition amazing, the average line in these games has only been recently 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten the spread, on average, by way of 13 factors per game at home due to the fact the year 2003.

Wow… how can anyone go against that?

Here’s how…

Almost all of those stats had been built up during the 2004 season. In 2010, 2006, Louisville has been closer to great than great. They have already experienced recent games through which they also have only scored twenty eight, 3, 24 points. And these games weren’t against Ohio St. or Michigan. They will had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

The end result is that this is still a new close activity to call up. But what I look for is West Virginia’s defense to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s simply no cause to think WVU can’t hold them to often the low to mid 20’s. My honest advice is usually to lay off this specific game and certainly not wager at all. There are usually better game titles this saturday and sunday with more clear-cut rewards.

The final score of the game was Louisville 46, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to gain some sort of punt for a good TD. The results was of which West Virginia’s border was not so big which they can still win right after making so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this specific activity, people significant concerning sports betting saved money they can offer better apply on upcoming games.