Sports bets can be quite profitable if you know the strategies the “smart money” bettors apply to consistently make dollars. One of the primary secrets that wise money gamblers use is usually knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a ideal example. We analyzed often the Western Las vegas vs. Louisville sport, and concluded of which West Las vegas had the particular edge in the activity. However , I also recognized that there have been a great deal of random and unstable factors, and recommended to my clients that they do not gamble on that game. Here is my personal analysis I released just before the game:

West California vs . Louisville

This sport has all the indications of being one of the most effective games involving the year, together with the two teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, along with Western side Virginia coming rear from appearing down large in the independence day one fourth to winning within overtime, however,.

So what’s the sport appearance like this year?

In the event this sport were turning into played with a new basic field, West Va will probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since typically the game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia can be on an unprecedented move. Many people haven’t lost given that Jan. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they misplaced to Va Tech. On the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last being unfaithful game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 PATH games.

These kinds of are some very outstanding stats that tilt this scales in favor connected with WVU regarding tonight’s games. Plus, typically the included bonus is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. สมัครพนันบอล might not look like quite a bit, but in a close match-up such as this, that extra point might make the big difference between some sort of push in addition to a loss.

But what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s gambling are really almost as good like WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their previous 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS inside their previous 10 home game titles.

Together with if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in your house since 12 , 17, 2003! During this current run Louisville is averaging 49. some points each game in your own home, while hitting only leaving behind 15. 8 points for each game with home. In case anyone did not do the mathmatical, that means considering their particular last home damage they already have averaged beating their own competitors by simply about 34 points per game.

What’s more amazing, the average line during these games has only been 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten the particular range, on average, simply by 13 things per online game at home given that the year 2003.

Wow… how can a person go against that?

Here’s exactly how…

Nearly all of those stats were accumulated during the 2004 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to good than great. They are yet to got recent games through which they are yet to only scored 36, twenty three, 24 points. And the game titles weren’t against Kansas Stycken. or Michigan. That they were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

Basically that will this is still the close activity to call up. Although the things i look with regard to is West Virginia’s defense to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s not any reason to think WVU can’t hold them to the particular low to the middle of 20’s. My honest suggestion will be to lay off that game and not guess at all. There are better game titles this end of the week with more simple strengths.

The final score of the game was Louisville forty four, West California 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to gain the punt for a new TD. The results was that West Virginia’s borders weren’t so big which they may possibly still win after building so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this match, people really serious about sports betting saved money they can offer better employ on future games.