Sports bets can be extremely profitable if anyone know the secrets and techniques often the “smart money” gamblers apply to consistently make money. The most significant secrets that intelligent money bettors use is knowing when NOT in order to bet.

Here’s a perfect illustration. My spouse and i analyzed often the Western world Virginia vs. Louisville match, and concluded that West Va had often the edge in the video game. Nonetheless My partner and i also noticed that there have been a lot of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not bet on this particular game. Here is the analysis I released before the game:

West Las vegas versus Louisville

This online game has all the signals of being one associated with the ideal games regarding the year, using both equally teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia versus. #5 ranked Louisville, both having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, using Western world Virginia coming back from becoming down big in the 4th quarter to winning in overtime.

So what’s the adventure look like this year?

If this sport were turning into played from a new fairly neutral field, West Las vegas will probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since often the game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia will be on an unprecedented throw. These people haven’t lost given that March. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they shed to Florida Tech. In the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 activities overall, and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 PATH games.

All these are some very impressive stats that tilt the particular scales in favor of WVU for tonight’s gaming. Plus, the added bonus offer is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This could not look like very much, but in a close match-up such as this, that spare point can make the big difference between a new push together with a loss.

But you may be wondering what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s figures are generally almost as good while WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their own final 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. ufabet168.info that said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS inside their previous 10 home activities.

Together with if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in your house since Dec 17, 2003! During this recent run Louisville is averaging 49. 4 points each game at your home, while averaging only giving up 15. 8 points per game in home. In case you decided not to do the mathmatical, that means considering that their particular last home reduction they’ve averaged beating their very own competitors by means of about 34 factors per game.

Even greater extraordinary, the average line during these games has only been recently 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten typically the spread, on average, simply by 13 items per online game at home since the year 2003.

Wow… how can a person go against that?

Here’s exactly how…

The majority of those stats had been developed during the july 2004 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to very good than great. They’ve had recent games through which they’ve only scored twenty eight, 23, 24 points. That games weren’t against Kansas E. or Michigan. Many people ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.

The bottom line is of which this is still a close sport to call up. Although the things i look with regard to is West Virginia’s defense to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s simply no cause to think WVU can’t hold them to the low to middle of the 20’s. My honest recommendation is usually to lay off that game and not necessarily bet at all. There happen to be better video games this weekend break with more simple strengths.

The final score of this game was Louisville forty-four, West California 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to give back a good punt for a TD. The bottom line was of which West Virginia’s advantage has not been so big they could very well still win soon after making so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this kind of game, people critical concerning wagering saved money that they can put to better make use of on coming games.