Sports gambling are often very profitable if a person know the secrets often the “smart money” gamblers make use of to consistently make money. One of the biggest secrets that smart money gamblers use is knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a excellent example. I actually analyzed the particular Western Florida vs. Louisville video game, and concluded of which West Virginia had this edge in the sport. However , My partner and i also understood that there was a good deal of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to a clients that they accomplish not guess on this specific game. Here is our analysis I released in advance of the game:

West Virginia versus Louisville

This game features all the indications of being one associated with the most effective games regarding the year, having both teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia versus. #5 ranked Louisville, the two along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, having Western world Virginia coming again from getting down large in the final one fourth to winning inside overtime, however,.

So what’s the sport search like this year?

If this game were turning into played at a natural field, West Florida might probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since the particular game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia can be on an unprecedented rotate. These people haven’t lost given that April. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they dropped to Va Tech. Through the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last being unfaithful video games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their very last 10 ROAD games.

These kind of are some very amazing stats that tilt the scales in favor involving WVU for tonight’s games. Plus, typically the added in benefit is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This could not seem like quite a bit, but in a near match-up similar to this, that excess point can make the distinction between a good push and a loss.

But what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s stats are almost as good while WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their particular very last 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS inside their previous 10 home game titles.

Together with if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped in your own home since 12 , 18, 2003! During UFABET168 is averaging 49. 4 points for every game in the home, while hitting only leaving behind 15. 8 points for each game from home. In case anyone failed to do the mathmatical, that means due to the fact his or her last home loss they’ve averaged beating their very own competitors by means of about thirty four factors per game.

What’s more extraordinary, the average line during these games has only been recently 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten typically the range, on average, by simply 13 details per online game at home considering that the year 2003.

Wow… how can anyone not in favor of that?

Here’s how…

Nearly all of those stats were piled up during the june 2006 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been closer to fine than great. They have already experienced recent games by which they also have only scored 28, twenty three, 24 points. And these game titles weren’t against Oh Stycken. or Michigan. These people had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.

To put it succinctly that will this is still a close sport to call up. Although what I look intended for is West Virginia’s defense to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s simply no explanation to think WVU can’t hold them to the particular low to mid 20’s. My honest recommendation is definitely to lay off this kind of game and not really guess at all. There are usually better games this weekend break with more simple strengths.

The final score with this game was Louisville forty four, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to return a new punt for a good TD. The results was that West Virginia’s edge had not been so big that they can can still win after doing so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on that game, people significant regarding gambling saved money many people can offer better work with on coming games.