Sports wagering can be very profitable if anyone know the secrets typically the “smart money” bettors work with to consistently make money. One of the biggest secrets that clever money bettors use is definitely knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a excellent example of this. My spouse and i analyzed typically the Western world Florida vs. Louisville activity, and concluded that West Florida had the particular edge in the activity. Nonetheless My partner and i also recognized that there have been a lot of random and unstable factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not guess on this specific game. Here is my own analysis I released prior to the game:

West Florida or Louisville

This sport has all the indicators of being one of the most effective games of the year, with both equally teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, the two using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, having Western side Virginia coming again from getting down massive in the fourth 1 / 4 to winning within overtime.

So what’s the overall game look like this year?

In case this match were as played from a good simple field, West Va would certainly probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since this game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia can be on an unprecedented throw. These people haven’t lost given that April. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they missing to Las vegas Tech. Inside the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last dokuz games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their previous 10 PATH games.

These are some very amazing stats that tilt often the scales in favor of WVU with regard to tonight’s online. Plus, this added in bonus is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This could not seem to be like very much, but in a near match-up like this, that excess point can make the big difference between the push and a loss.

But some of us wonder what about Louisville?

Louisville’s statistics are almost as good like WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their particular previous 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS in their final 10 home activities.

In addition to if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t missing at your home since December 16, the year 2003! During this recent run Louisville is averaging 49. 5 points per game in your own home, while averaging only giving up 15. six points per game from home. In case anyone don’t do the math concepts, that means considering their very own last home reduction they are yet to averaged beating their very own adversaries simply by about 34 details per game.

Even greater amazing, the average line during these games has only been 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten typically the divide, on average, by means of 13 things per online game at home due to the fact 2003.

Wow… how can you not in favor of that?

Here’s exactly how…

Almost all of those stats had been accumulated during the june 2006 season. 안전토토사이트 , 2006, Louisville has been nearer to good than great. They already have experienced recent games through which they are yet to only scored twenty eight, 3, 24 points. And the game titles weren’t against Iowa St. or Michigan. That they ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

In essence that will this is still a good close video game to phone. But the things i look for is West Virginia’s defense to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s no cause to think WVU can’t hold them to typically the low to middle 20’s. My honest professional recommendation is usually to lay off this game and definitely not gamble at all. There will be better video games this end of the week with more simple rewards.

The final score with this game was Louisville 44, West California 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to give back a good punt for some sort of TD. The results was that will West Virginia’s border weren’t so big they may still win soon after building so many mistakes. By not betting on this particular sport, people severe about sports betting saved money many people can put to better apply on coming games.