Sports wagering can be extremely profitable if an individual know the techniques the “smart money” gamblers work with to consistently make cash. Most significant secrets that wise money bettors use can be knowing when NOT to help bet.

Here’s a perfect example. I analyzed the particular Western world Virginia vs. Louisville video game, and concluded of which West California had often the edge in the sport. However , We also understood that there initially were a whole lot of random and unknown factors, and recommended to a clients that they perform not bet on this particular game. Here is my analysis I released prior to the game:

West Virginia versus Louisville

This online game has all the signals of being one regarding the ideal games involving the year, having equally teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, using Western world Virginia coming again from being down big in the independence day 1 fourth to winning in overtime, however,.

So what’s the adventure look like this year?

In the event this game were being played in the neutral field, West Virginia would likely probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since often the game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented roll. They will haven’t lost due to the fact July. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they dropped to Las vegas Tech. Through the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last on the lookout for activities overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their previous 10 ROAD games.

These kind of are some very extraordinary stats that tilt this scales in favor regarding WVU regarding tonight’s online game. Plus, the particular additional reward is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This may not seem like quite a bit, but in a close up match-up like this, that more point will certainly make the change between the push in addition to a loss.

But some of us wonder what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s figures are almost as good as WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their very own previous 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS into their previous 10 home video games.

In addition to if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped at your home since 12 , eighteen, the year 2003! During this existing run Louisville is averaging 49. five points every game in your own home, while averaging only letting go of 15. 6 points for each game in home. In case anyone didn’t do the math, that means due to the fact their particular last home damage they are yet to averaged beating their own oppositions by simply about 34 factors per game.

Furthermore outstanding, the average line in these games has only been recently 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten the spread, on average, by 13 points per game at home considering that the year 2003.

Wow… how can you go against that?

Here’s exactly how…

Most of those stats have been accumulated during the june 2006 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to good than great. They also have possessed recent games where they are yet to only scored twenty-eight, twenty-three, 24 points. And the activities weren’t against Oh Street. or Michigan. virtual betting site were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

The bottom line is that this is still a good close video game to call. But the things i look intended for is West Virginia’s safety to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s simply no explanation to think WVU can’t hold them to typically the low to middle 20’s. My honest professional recommendation is to lay off that game and not necessarily guarantee at all. There will be better games this saturday and sunday with more simple advantages.

The final score in this game was Louisville 44, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to come back a punt for the TD. The bottom line was of which West Virginia’s advantage had not been so big that they could still win right after generating so many mistakes. By means of not betting on this video game, people really serious about wagering saved money many people can put to better work with on approaching games.