Sports gambling can be extremely profitable if an individual know the tricks the particular “smart money” bettors use to consistently make dollars. One of the greatest secrets that smart money bettors use can be knowing when NOT to bet.

Here’s a perfect example. My spouse and i analyzed often the Western side Virginia vs. Louisville video game, and concluded that West Las vegas had typically the edge in the video game. However , My spouse and i also realized that there was a great deal of random and unknown factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not guarantee on that game. Here is my analysis I released just before the game:

West California versus Louisville

This game offers all the signs of being one connected with the most effective games regarding the year, using both teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia versus. #5 ranked Louisville, the two along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, along with Western side Virginia coming again from appearing down major in the next one fourth to winning around overtime.

So what’s the overall game appearance like this year?

In case this match were as played in a natural field, West Las vegas would probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since often the game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia will be on an unprecedented roll. That they haven’t lost due to the fact April. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they dropped to Va Tech. In the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last on the lookout for game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 ROUTE games.

All these are some very remarkable stats that tilt the scales in favor of WVU with regard to tonight’s game. Plus, often the included reward is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. ufabet168.info might not seem like substantially, but in a shut match-up such as this, that extra point will make the distinction between a good push in addition to a loss.

But what about Louisville?

Louisville’s figures are really almost as good like WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their past 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS in their very last 10 home game titles.

In addition to if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in your house since December 17, the year 2003! During this existing run Louisville is hitting 49. four points each game at your home, while averaging only stopping 15. 6 points every game from home. In case an individual didn’t do the math, that means given that their last home loss they already have averaged beating his or her opponents simply by about 34 items per game.

Furthermore amazing, the average line during these games has only been recently 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten this pass on, on average, by simply 13 factors per sport at home considering 2003.

Wow… how can a person go against that?

Here’s precisely how…

Nearly all of those stats were being established during the 2006 season. Shock as to, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to fine than great. They also have had recent games where they’ve only scored twenty eight, 3, 24 points. And the activities weren’t against Kansas E. or Michigan. That they had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.

To put it succinctly of which this is still a good close game to get in touch with. Although what I look with regard to is West Virginia’s defense to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s zero purpose to think WVU can’t hold them to typically the low to the middle of 20’s. My honest endorsement is definitely to lay off this game and not really guess at all. There will be better games this weekend break with more simple positive aspects.

The final score in this game was Louisville forty-four, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to give back a new punt for some sort of TD. The bottom line was of which West Virginia’s edge was not so big that they could still win following doing so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this kind of sport, people serious regarding wagering saved money that they can offer better employ on coming games.