Sports gambling can be extremely profitable if an individual know the tricks often the “smart money” gamblers make use of to consistently make cash. One of the biggest secrets that intelligent money gamblers use can be knowing when NOT to be able to bet.

Here’s a great instance. My partner and i analyzed often the Western world Virginia vs. Louisville sport, and concluded of which West Va had often the edge in the video game. However , We also realized that there have been a whole lot of random and capricious factors, and recommended to a clients that they perform not bet on this particular game. Here is my own analysis I released before the game:

West Florida versus Louisville

This activity offers all the indications of being one connected with the very best games regarding the year, with both equally teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, the two with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, having Western side Virginia coming backside from appearing down major in the independence day quarter to winning in overtime.

So what’s the game appear like this year?

If this game were appearing played from the natural field, West Va would certainly probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since often the game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is on an unprecedented throw. These people haven’t lost due to the fact March. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they lost to Las vegas Tech. On the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last on the lookout for activities overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their final 10 ROUTE games.

These are some very amazing stats that tilt often the scales in favor involving WVU intended for tonight’s online. Plus, often UFABET added added bonus is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This will likely not look like substantially, but in a near match-up similar to this, that extra point could make the distinction between a good push and a loss.

But some of us wonder what about Louisville?

Louisville’s stats are almost as good as WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their very own final 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS inside their very last 10 home games.

And even if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t shed in your house since Dec 20, the year 2003! During this existing run Louisville is averaging 49. 5 points per game at home, while hitting only quitting 15. seven points each game in home. In case a person failed to do the mathematics, that means since their very own last home damage they are yet to averaged beating their particular opponents by about 34 points per game.

What’s more outstanding, the average line during these games has only recently been 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten this pass on, on average, by way of 13 things per game at home considering that 2003.

Wow… how can you not in favor of that?

Here’s precisely how…

The majority of those stats had been established during the 2004 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to fine than great. They already have experienced recent games that has they have already only scored twenty-eight, twenty three, 24 points. That activities weren’t against Iowa St. or Michigan. That they ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

In essence that will this is still a good close match to call up. Nevertheless the things i look with regard to is West Virginia’s protection to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s no reason to think WVU can’t hold them to this low to middle 20’s. My honest professional recommendation will be to lay off this specific game and not really guess at all. There are usually better activities this weekend break with more clear-cut strengths.

The final score with this game was Louisville 44, West California 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to come back a punt for a good TD. The bottom line was that West Virginia’s borders has not been so big they will may possibly still win after doing so many mistakes. By not betting on this specific match, people really serious regarding gambling saved money they can offer better use on forthcoming games.