Sports wagering is often very profitable if you know the techniques the particular “smart money” gamblers employ to consistently make funds. One of the greatest secrets that smart money gamblers use will be knowing when NOT in order to bet.

Here’s a best example of this. My spouse and i analyzed this Western Florida vs. Louisville game, and concluded that West Las vegas had typically the edge in the video game. Nonetheless My partner and i also recognized that there was a great deal of random and capricious factors, and recommended to a clients that they accomplish not bet on this particular game. Here is the analysis I released before the game:

West Florida or Louisville

This video game provides all the symptoms of being one regarding the best games connected with the year, together with both equally teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, each together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, using Western Virginia coming backside from being down huge in the next fraction to winning inside overtime, however,.

So what’s the sport seem like this year?

In case this video game were being played on a good basic field, West Virginia would probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since often the game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented spin. These people haven’t lost considering April. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they shed to Las vegas Tech. Through the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last being unfaithful video games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their final 10 ROAD games.

These are some very extraordinary stats that tilt the particular scales in favor regarding WVU regarding tonight’s online. Plus, the added benefit is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This might not look like significantly, but in a near match-up similar to this, that more point can make the big difference between a push and a loss.

But you may be wondering what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s gambling are almost as good as WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their very own last 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS within their previous 10 home activities.

And even if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced at home since January 16, 2003! During this current run Louisville is averaging 49. some points for each game in your own home, while hitting only stopping 15. 7 points every game from home. In case you did not do the mathematics, that means considering that their last home decline they also have averaged beating their particular opponents by means of about thirty four details per game.

In UFABETเว็บตรง , the average line during these games has only also been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten the particular get spread around, on average, by simply 13 details per video game at home since the year 2003.

Wow… how can anyone not in favor of that?

Here’s how…

Most of those stats were being piled up during the 2006 season. In 2010, 2006, Louisville has been closer to excellent than great. They already have experienced recent games that has they are yet to only scored 36, 12, 24 points. And the online games weren’t against Ohio Saint. or Michigan. That they were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

To put it succinctly that this is still some sort of close activity to call. Although the things i look with regard to is West Virginia’s protection to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s virtually no factor to think WVU can’t have one to this low to middle 20’s. My honest recommendation will be to lay off this specific game and not guess at all. There happen to be better game titles this weekend break with more simple advantages.

The final score in this game was Louisville 46, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles in addition to allowed Lousiville to gain the punt for a TD. The results was of which West Virginia’s borders had not been so big they could still win following generating so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on that video game, people serious regarding sports betting saved money they will can put to better use on approaching games.