Sports playing can be very profitable if an individual know the strategies often the “smart money” gamblers apply to consistently make dollars. One of the biggest secrets that smart money gamblers use is knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a best case in point. I analyzed typically the West Las vegas vs. Louisville sport, and concluded of which West Virginia had the particular edge in the sport. Yet , My partner and i also understood that there initially were a great deal of random and unknown factors, and recommended to my clients that they carry out not guarantee on this game. Here is our analysis I released prior to the game:

West California or Louisville

This video game provides all the indicators of being one associated with the best games regarding the year, together with equally teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, using West Virginia coming rear from being down large in the independence day fraction to winning throughout overtime.

So what’s the overall game appear like this year?

In the event this sport were turning into played from the natural field, West Florida will probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since typically the game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia will be on an unprecedented rotate. They will haven’t lost given that Oct. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they misplaced to Florida Tech. Through the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS too. W88 -2 ATS in their last nine game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 PATH games.

These types of are some very impressive stats that tilt often the scales in favor of WVU for tonight’s games. Plus, this added reward is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This will likely not look like significantly, but in a close up match-up like this, that special point could make the change between a new push and a loss.

But what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s numbers are usually almost as good as WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their particular previous 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS within their final 10 home video games.

Together with if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced in the home since 12 , 20, the year 2003! During this recent run Louisville is averaging 49. 5 points for each game in your own home, while averaging only stopping 15. six points for each game at home. In case a person don’t do the figures, that means considering that their last home reduction they also have averaged beating their own oppositions by means of about 34 details per game.

What’s more extraordinary, the average line in these games has only recently been 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten typically the spread, on average, simply by 13 details per game at home considering that 2003.

Wow… how can anyone not in favor of that?

Here’s just how…

Many of those stats were accumulated during the 2005 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to great than great. They have already had recent games by which they also have only scored 35, 3, 24 points. These types of video games weren’t against Kansas St. or Michigan. Many people were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

The bottom line is of which this is still a close activity to contact. Yet the things i look with regard to is West Virginia’s defense to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s virtually no purpose to think WVU can’t hold them to this low to mid 20’s. My honest advice is to lay off that game and certainly not gamble at all. There are better game titles this saturday and sunday with more simple rewards.

The final score on this game was Louisville forty four, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to give back some sort of punt for a new TD. The bottom line was the fact that West Virginia’s advantage weren’t so big that they can can still win immediately after building so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this particular sport, people severe about wagering saved money they will can put to better apply on coming games.